UMPIRY
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Rodrigo Alujas vs Tarun Karra — M15 Mazatlan Round of 16

M15 MazatlanR16HardWed 28 Oct · 12:30
Rodrigo Alujas(5)ATP #782 · MEX79%
VSClear favourite · Alujas R.
Tarun KarraIND21%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Alujas R.
79%21%

Clear edge for Alujas R. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 5 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Alujas R.3.9/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Karra T.4.8/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form2 of last 8 on hardInformative
Recent runLost last 3Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 533
Hard ELO1 515
Last 104–6
Age24
ELO1 467
Hard ELO1 472
Last 106–4
Age26

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Alujas R.Karra T.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–66–4 (ahead)
Season win rate38% (9–15)100% (2–0) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1533 (ahead)1467
Hard-court ELO1515 (ahead)1472
Serve vs returnLast 18 vs 2 matches
1st-serve points won62%69% (ahead)
Return points won39%53% (ahead)
Aces / match1.1 (ahead)0.5
ClutchLast 18 vs 2 matches
Break points saved50% (ahead)25%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

12:30 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast25°C · Thunderstorm
Wind11 km/h
Humidity91%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Rodrigo Alujas vs Tarun Karra — M15 Mazatlan Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-28/alujas-vs-karra-m15-mazatlan-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 28 October 2026).