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Ksenia Zaytseva vs Ksenia Smirnova — W50 Istanbul Round of 32

W50 IstanbulR32HardTue 27 Oct · 10:15
Ksenia ZaytsevaWTA #376 · RUS75%
VSClear favourite · Zaytseva K.
Ksenia SmirnovaWTA #661 · RUS25%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Zaytseva K.
75%25%

Clear edge for Zaytseva K. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Zaytseva K.5.7/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Smirnova K.4.9/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form6 of last 10 on hardInformative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 668
Hard ELO1 578
Last 107–3
Age22
EarningsCareer $96K2026 $40K
ELO1 564
Hard ELO1 563
Last 107–3
Age19
EarningsCareer $9K2026 $8K

Ksenia Zaytseva faces Ksenia Smirnova in the W50 Istanbul round of 32 on hard. Ksenia Zaytseva is the paper favourite — ranked #376 — but Ksenia Smirnova arrives in form, winning 5 of their last 7 on hard to Ksenia Zaytseva's 4 of 7.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Zaytseva K.Smirnova K.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–37–3
Season win rate69% (24–11)74% (25–9) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1668 (ahead)1564
Hard-court ELO1578 (ahead)1563
Serve vs returnLast 29 vs 28 matches
1st-serve points won59%59%
Return points won49%51% (ahead)
Aces / match0.80.8
ClutchLast 29 vs 28 matches
Break points saved50%51% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:15 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast14°C · Showers
Wind27 km/h
Humidity84%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Ksenia Zaytseva vs Ksenia Smirnova — W50 Istanbul Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-27/smirnova-vs-zaytseva-w50-istanbul-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 27 October 2026).