Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Schaefbauer M.
59%41%
Schaefbauer M. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.
Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Schaefbauer M.4.9/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Svetac S.4.5/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Recent runLost last 2Informative
CountryWon 40% in USA (60)Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 476
Hard ELO1 481
Last 105–5
Age22
ELO1 514
Hard ELO1 500
Last 106–4
Age21
Common opponents
0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.
Head-to-head
They have not met before.
Evidence
Schaefbauer M.Svetac S.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–56–4 (ahead)
Season win rate50% (5–5)100% (1–0) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO14761514 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO14811500 (ahead)
Draw
Odds
Conditions
11:30 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast21°C · Clear
Wind17 km/h
Humidity54%
Cite this
Umpiry, "Mckenna Schaefbauer vs Sara Svetac — W35 Norman Qualifying Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-27/schaefbauer-vs-svetac-w35-norman-q16?utm_source=cite (as of 27 October 2026).