UMPIRY
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Inaki Montes De La Torre vs Toby Samuel — Brest Round of 32

BrestR32HardTue 27 Oct · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Samuel T.
29%71%

Clear edge for Samuel T. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Montes-De La Torre I.5.4/10
Clear underdog
Samuel T.6.7/10
Slight advantage
Why
Surface+210 Hard Elo edgeSupports Samuel T.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1745Supports Samuel T.
Recent runLost last 3Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 754
Hard ELO1 677
Last 108–2
Age24
Height178 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $137K2026 $42K
ELO1 875
Hard ELO1 765
Last 106–4
Age24
Height191 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $651K2026 $536K

Inaki Montes De La Torre faces Toby Samuel in the Brest round of 32 on hard. Toby Samuel is the paper favourite — ranked #96, a roughly 210-point hard Elo advantage — but Inaki Montes De La Torre arrives in form, winning 8 of their last 10 on hard to Toby Samuel's 6 of 10.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Montes-De La Torre I.Samuel T.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss8–2 (ahead)6–4
Season win rate66% (35–18)67% (37–18) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO17541875 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO16771765 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 51 vs 53 matches
1st-serve points won68%69% (ahead)
Return points won44% (ahead)41%
Aces / match1.84.3 (ahead)
ClutchLast 51 vs 53 matches
Break points saved60%65% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard · fast
Forecast15°C · Clear
Wind17 km/h
Humidity72%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Montes-De La Torre I.Samuel T.
21 — fresherDays since last match5
0 — fresherMatches · 7 days1
0 — fresherGames · 7 days22
0 — fresherMatches · 14 days1
0 — fresherGames · 14 days22
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Inaki Montes De La Torre vs Toby Samuel — Brest Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-27/samuel-vs-torre-brest-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 27 October 2026).