UMPIRY
EN

Tereza Valentova vs Mia Pohankova — Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo Round of 32

Toray Pan Pacific Open - TokyoR32HardTue 27 Oct · 02:00 UTC
Tereza ValentovaWTA #88 · CZE70%
VSClear favourite · Valentova T.
Mia PohankovaWTA #145 · SVK30%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Valentova T.
70%30%

Clear edge for Valentova T. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Valentova T.6.9/10
Slight advantage
Pohankova M.5.9/10
Even match
Why
Surface+159 Hard Elo edgeSupports Valentova T.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1818Supports Valentova T.
Recent run2-match win streakSupports Valentova T.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Pohankova M.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 881
Hard ELO1 780
Last 107–3
Age19
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.3M2026 $757K
ELO1 699
Hard ELO1 649
Last 107–3
Age18
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $93K2026 $65K

Tereza Valentova faces Mia Pohankova in the Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo round of 32 on hard. Tereza Valentova holds the paper edge — ranked #88, a roughly 160-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Freshness: Workload contrast: Tereza Valentova 91 games in 14 days, Mia Pohankova 66.
  • Surface form: Both 7 of 10 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

1 shared · last 12 months

Valentova T. and Pohankova M. faced 1 of the same opponent in the last 12 months. Valentova T. went 0–1 (0%) against them, Pohankova M. 0–1 (0%).

0–10%Valentova T. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents0–10%Pohankova M. · better vs 0
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
1–1Sets0–2
11–11Games4–12

Only 1 common opponent — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Valentova T.Pohankova M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–37–3
Season win rate59% (29–20)62% (24–15) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1881 (ahead)1699
Hard-court ELO1780 (ahead)1649
Serve vs returnLast 49 vs 39 matches
1st-serve points won64%68% (ahead)
Return points won46% (ahead)44%
Aces / match2.54.4 (ahead)
ClutchLast 49 vs 39 matches
Break points saved56%60% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Valentova T.Pohankova M.
1Days since last match11 — fresher
4Matches · 7 days0 — fresher
91Games · 7 days0 — fresher
4Matches · 14 days3 — fresher
91Games · 14 days66 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Tereza Valentova vs Mia Pohankova — Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-27/pohankova-vs-valentova-toray-pan-pacific-open-tokyo-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 27 October 2026).