UMPIRY
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J. Roddick vs Olaf Pieczkowski — M25 Las Vegas Round of 32

M25 Las VegasR32HardTue 27 Oct · 12:00
J. RoddickATP #885 · USA22%
VSClear favourite · Pieczkowski O.
Olaf Pieczkowski(4)ATP #718 · POL78%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Pieczkowski O.
22%78%

Clear edge for Pieczkowski O. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 5 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Roddick J.5.7/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Pieczkowski O.5.2/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form3 of last 10 on hardInformative
CountryWon 46% in USA (26)Informative
Recent runLost last 2Both players
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 520
Hard ELO1 515
Last 107–3
Age24
ELO1 622
Hard ELO1 584
Last 104–6
Age22

J. Roddick faces Olaf Pieczkowski in the M25 Las Vegas round of 32 on hard. Olaf Pieczkowski is the paper favourite — ranked #718 — but J. Roddick arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 10 on hard to Olaf Pieczkowski's 4 of 10.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Roddick J.Pieczkowski O.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)4–6
Season win rate50% (11–11) (ahead)43% (6–8)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15201622 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15151584 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 14 vs 13 matches
1st-serve points won69% (ahead)65%
Return points won42% (ahead)41%
Aces / match2.93.6 (ahead)
ClutchLast 14 vs 13 matches
Break points saved55%58% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

12:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast23°C · Clear
Wind13 km/h
Humidity26%

Cite this

Umpiry, "J. Roddick vs Olaf Pieczkowski — M25 Las Vegas Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-27/pieczkowski-vs-roddick-m25-las-vegas-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 27 October 2026).