Midori Castillo Meza vs Anastasia Tikhonova

UMPIRY

W50 MoreliaR32HardTue 27 Oct · 15:00

Midori Castillo MezaWTA #895 · USA18%

VSStrong favourite · Tikhonova A.

Anastasia Tikhonova(2)WTA #313 · RUS82%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Tikhonova A.

18%82%

Clear edge for Tikhonova A. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 6 such matches.

ELO1 509

Hard ELO1 509

Last 104–6

Age22

EarningsCareer $15K2026 $7K

ELO1 622

Hard ELO1 593

Last 105–5

Age25

EarningsCareer $567K2026 $91K

Midori Castillo Meza faces Anastasia Tikhonova in the W50 Morelia round of 32 on hard. Anastasia Tikhonova holds the paper edge — ranked #313. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Form trend: Form trajectories diverge: Anastasia Tikhonova rising, Midori Castillo Meza cooling.
Fatigue load: Anastasia Tikhonova carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
Surface form: Midori Castillo Meza 4 of 10, Anastasia Tikhonova 5 of 10 on hard recently — Anastasia Tikhonova the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Castillo Meza M.Tikhonova A.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss4–65–5

Season win rate43% (10–13)40% (18–27)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO15091622

Hard-court ELO15091593

Serve vs returnLast 14 vs 40 matches

1st-serve points won51%65%

Return points won43%42%

Aces / match0.13.4

ClutchLast 14 vs 40 matches

Break points saved46%52%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

15:00 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast23°C · Drizzle

Wind10 km/h

Humidity50%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Midori Castillo Meza vs Anastasia Tikhonova — W50 Morelia Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-27/meza-vs-tikhonova-w50-morelia-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 27 October 2026).