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Finn Murgett vs Maximilian Marterer — M25 Sheffield Round of 32

M25 SheffieldR32HardTue 27 Oct · 10:00
Finn MurgettATP #873 · GBR24%
VSClear favourite · Marterer M.
Maximilian MartererGER76%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Marterer M.
24%76%

Clear edge for Marterer M. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Murgett F.5.6/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Marterer M.5.2/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form3 of last 10 on hardInformative
Surface switchCarpet → HardAgainst the prediction · Murgett F.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 615
Hard ELO1 594
Last 107–3
Age25
ELO1 737
Hard ELO1 619
Last 106–4
Age31

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Murgett F.Marterer M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)6–4
Season win rate71% (17–7) (ahead)54% (7–6)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16151737 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15941619 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 23 vs 11 matches
1st-serve points won65%73% (ahead)
Return points won43% (ahead)33%
Aces / match1.34.5 (ahead)
ClutchLast 23 vs 11 matches
Break points saved62%70% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast12°C · Clear
Wind26 km/h
Humidity62%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Finn Murgett vs Maximilian Marterer — M25 Sheffield Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-27/marterer-vs-murgett-m25-sheffield-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 27 October 2026).