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Laura Mair vs Katarina Zavatska — Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open - Courmayeur Round of 32

Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open - CourmayeurR32HardTue 27 Oct · 10:00 UTC
Laura MairWTA #441 · ITA29%
VSClear favourite · Zavatska K.
Katarina ZavatskaWTA #229 · UKR71%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Zavatska K.
29%71%

Clear edge for Zavatska K. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Mair L.5.4/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Zavatska K.6.6/10
Marginal edge
Why
Surface+154 Hard Elo edgeSupports Zavatska K.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1542Supports Zavatska K.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysInformative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 551
Hard ELO1 481
Last 105–5
Age23
Height177 cm
EarningsCareer $57K2026 $18K
ELO1 712
Hard ELO1 564
Last 107–3
Age26
Height173 cm
EarningsCareer $1.1M2026 $100K

Laura Mair faces Katarina Zavatska in the Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open - Courmayeur round of 32 on hard. Katarina Zavatska holds the paper edge — ranked #229, a roughly 150-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Freshness: Workload contrast: Laura Mair 29 games in 14 days, Katarina Zavatska 0.
  • Surface form: Both 3 of 4 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Mair L.Zavatska K.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–57–3 (ahead)
Season win rate51% (21–20)66% (41–21) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15511712 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO14811564 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 39 vs 60 matches
1st-serve points won60% (ahead)57%
Return points won48%49% (ahead)
Aces / match0.80.8
ClutchLast 39 vs 60 matches
Break points saved53% (ahead)51%

Draw

Odds

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Mair L.Zavatska K.
13Days since last match17 — fresher
0Matches · 7 days0
0Games · 7 days0
1Matches · 14 days0 — fresher
29Games · 14 days0 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Laura Mair vs Katarina Zavatska — Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open - Courmayeur Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-27/mair-vs-zavatska-valle-d-aosta-ladies-open-courmayeur-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 27 October 2026).