James Mackinlay vs T. Radovanovic

UMPIRY

M25 MaltaQ16QualifyingHardTue 27 Oct · 10:00

James MackinlayGBR20%

VSStrong favourite · Radovanovic T.

T. RadovanovicSRB80%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Radovanovic T.

20%80%

Clear edge for Radovanovic T. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 5 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Mackinlay J.4.4/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Radovanovic T.4.8/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Recent runLost last 3Informative

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 461

Hard ELO1 468

Last 104–6

Age26

ELO1 497

Hard ELO1 506

Last 106–4

Age26

James Mackinlay faces T. Radovanovic in the M25 Malta qualifying round of 16 on hard. T. Radovanovic brings the better recent hard form (5 of 6).

Key context

Last match: James Mackinlay dropped just 4 games past C. Giraldi.
Last match: T. Radovanovic handed Benjamin Hegedus-Kyster a first-set bagel in a 6–0 6–4 win.
Surface form: James Mackinlay 4 of 6, T. Radovanovic 5 of 6 on hard recently — T. Radovanovic the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Mackinlay J.Radovanovic T.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss4–66–4

Season win rate100% (2–0)60% (3–2)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO14611497

Hard-court ELO14681506

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast22°C · Partly cloudy

Wind8 km/h

Humidity53%

Cite this

Umpiry, "James Mackinlay vs T. Radovanovic — M25 Malta Qualifying Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-27/mackinlay-vs-radovanovic-m25-malta-q16?utm_source=cite (as of 27 October 2026).