UMPIRY
EN

Mia Ristic vs Martyna Kubka — Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open - Courmayeur Round of 32

Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open - CourmayeurR32HardTue 27 Oct · 10:00 UTC
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Kubka M.
42%58%

Kubka M. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Ristic M.5.3/10
Clear underdog
Kubka M.6.7/10
Slight advantage
Why
Surface+199 Hard Elo edgeSupports Kubka M.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1600Supports Kubka M.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Ristic M.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 715
Hard ELO1 554
Last 105–5
Age20
EarningsCareer $203K2026 $122K
ELO1 733
Hard ELO1 680
Last 106–4
Age25
EarningsCareer $269K2026 $121K

Mia Ristic faces Martyna Kubka in the Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open - Courmayeur round of 32 on hard. Martyna Kubka holds the paper edge — ranked #148, a roughly 200-point hard Elo advantage.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Ristic M.Kubka M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–56–4 (ahead)
Season win rate60% (36–24)70% (42–18) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO17151733 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15541680 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 58 matches each
1st-serve points won62%68% (ahead)
Return points won45% (ahead)44%
Aces / match1.74.8 (ahead)
ClutchLast 58 matches each
Break points saved55%58% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Ristic M.Kubka M.
13 — fresherDays since last match9
0Matches · 7 days0
0Games · 7 days0
1 — fresherMatches · 14 days4
16 — fresherGames · 14 days80
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Mia Ristic vs Martyna Kubka — Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open - Courmayeur Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-27/kubka-vs-ristic-valle-d-aosta-ladies-open-courmayeur-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 27 October 2026).