UMPIRY
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Michele Ribecai vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer — Brest Round of 32

BrestR32HardTue 27 Oct · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Budkov Kjaer N.
35%65%

Budkov Kjaer N. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Ribecai M.4.7/10
Heavy underdog
Budkov Kjaer N.7.0/10
Strong advantage
Why
Surface+309 Hard Elo edgeSupports Budkov Kjaer N.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1620Supports Budkov Kjaer N.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Budkov Kjaer N.
Head-to-headFirst meeting on hardBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 675
Hard ELO1 592
Last 106–4
Age23
EarningsCareer $95K2026 $53K
ELO1 792
Hard ELO1 655
Last 105–5
Age20
EarningsCareer $861K2026 $407K

Michele Ribecai faces Nicolai Budkov Kjaer in the Brest round of 32 on hard. Nicolai Budkov Kjaer holds the paper edge — ranked #187, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 310-point hard Elo advantage.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Budkov Kjaer N. leads 1–0
01

Evidence

Ribecai M.Budkov Kjaer N.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–4 (ahead)5–5
Season win rate49% (27–28)51% (32–31) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16751792 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15921655 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 54 vs 58 matches
1st-serve points won65%68% (ahead)
Return points won41% (ahead)38%
Aces / match1.53.9 (ahead)
ClutchLast 54 vs 58 matches
Break points saved59%59%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard · fast
Forecast14°C · Clear
Wind15 km/h
Humidity74%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Ribecai M.Budkov Kjaer N.
1Days since last match6 — fresher
4Matches · 7 days2 — fresher
83Games · 7 days42 — fresher
5 — fresherMatches · 14 days6
102 — fresherGames · 14 days127
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Michele Ribecai vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer — Brest Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-27/kjaer-vs-ribecai-brest-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 27 October 2026).