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Aidan Kim vs Dominique Rolland — M25 Las Vegas Round of 32

M25 Las VegasR32HardTue 27 Oct · 12:00
Aidan Kim(3)ATP #634 · USA81%
VSStrong favourite · Kim A.
Dominique RollandFRA19%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Kim A.
81%19%

Clear edge for Kim A. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 5 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Kim A.5.7/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Rolland D.6.1/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form5 of last 10 on hardInformative
CountryWon 65% in USA (124)Supports Kim A.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 643
Hard ELO1 613
Last 105–5
Age21
ELO1 534
Hard ELO1 532
Last 106–4
Age22

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Kim A.Rolland D.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–56–4 (ahead)
Season win rate69% (20–9) (ahead)60% (6–4)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1643 (ahead)1534
Hard-court ELO1613 (ahead)1532
Serve vs returnLast 15 vs 7 matches
1st-serve points won75% (ahead)62%
Return points won38%44% (ahead)
Aces / match7.3 (ahead)1.0
ClutchLast 15 vs 7 matches
Break points saved64% (ahead)40%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

12:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast23°C · Clear
Wind13 km/h
Humidity26%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Aidan Kim vs Dominique Rolland — M25 Las Vegas Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-27/kim-vs-rolland-m25-las-vegas-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 27 October 2026).