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Paul Jubb vs Oscar Weightman — M25 Sheffield Round of 32

M25 SheffieldR32HardTue 27 Oct · 14:30
Paul Jubb(5)ATP #389 · GBR89%
VSStrong favourite · Jubb P.
Oscar WeightmanATP #800 · GBR11%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Jubb P.
89%11%

Clear edge for Jubb P. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 9 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Jubb P.5.2/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Weightman O.5.3/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form5 of last 10 on hardAgainst the prediction · Weightman O.
Recent runLost last 4Informative
Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardInformative
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 746
Hard ELO1 682
Last 109–1
Age26
Height180 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $687K2026 $65K
ELO1 574
Hard ELO1 560
Last 104–6
Age24
Height188 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $47K2026 $10K

Paul Jubb faces Oscar Weightman in the M25 Sheffield round of 32 on hard. Paul Jubb holds the paper edge — ranked #389, leading the head-to-head 1–0.

Key context

  • Form trend: Form trajectories diverge: Paul Jubb rising, Oscar Weightman cooling.
  • Surface form: Paul Jubb 9 of 10, Oscar Weightman 4 of 10 on hard recently — Paul Jubb the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Paul Jubb carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Jubb P. leads 1–0
10

Evidence

Jubb P.Weightman O.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss9–1 (ahead)4–6
Season win rate63% (29–17) (ahead)52% (15–14)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1746 (ahead)1574
Hard-court ELO1682 (ahead)1560
Serve vs returnLast 46 vs 26 matches
1st-serve points won68%69% (ahead)
Return points won43% (ahead)38%
Aces / match3.44.9 (ahead)
ClutchLast 46 vs 26 matches
Break points saved56%62% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

14:30 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast13°C · Clear
Wind25 km/h
Humidity54%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Paul Jubb vs Oscar Weightman — M25 Sheffield Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-27/jubb-vs-weightman-m25-sheffield-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 27 October 2026).