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Francesca Jones vs Maria Florencia Urrutia — Curitiba Open - Curitiba Round of 32

Curitiba Open - CuritibaR32ClayTue 27 Oct · 11:00
Francesca Jones(1)WTA #99 · GBR65%
VSSlight edge · Jones F.
Maria Florencia UrrutiaWTA #454 · ARG35%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Jones F.
65%35%

Jones F. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Jones F.6.2/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Urrutia M.5.7/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form6 of last 10 on clayInformative
Recent runLost last 3Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 800
Clay ELO1 723
Last 106–4
Age26
EarningsCareer $1.7M2026 $688K
ELO1 607
Clay ELO1 604
Last 106–4
Age25
EarningsCareer $48K2026 $19K

Francesca Jones faces Maria Florencia Urrutia in the Curitiba Open - Curitiba round of 32 on clay. Francesca Jones is the paper favourite — ranked #99 — but Maria Florencia Urrutia arrives in form, winning 5 of their last 7 on clay to Francesca Jones's 4 of 7.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Jones F.Urrutia M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–46–4
Season win rate58% (32–23)60% (34–23) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1800 (ahead)1607
Clay-court ELO1723 (ahead)1604
Serve vs returnLast 54 vs 50 matches
1st-serve points won61% (ahead)56%
Return points won46%50% (ahead)
Aces / match1.6 (ahead)0.6
ClutchLast 54 vs 50 matches
Break points saved56% (ahead)52%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast16°C · Drizzle
Wind10 km/h
Humidity65%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Francesca Jones vs Maria Florencia Urrutia — Curitiba Open - Curitiba Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-27/jones-vs-urrutia-curitiba-open-curitiba-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 27 October 2026).