UMPIRY
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R. Jones vs William Nolan — M25 Sheffield Round of 32

M25 SheffieldR32HardTue 27 Oct · 11:30
R. JonesGBR58%
VSSlight edge · Jones R.
William NolanGBR42%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Jones R.
58%42%

Jones R. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Jones R.5.7/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Nolan W.4.8/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
What we know
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 544
Hard ELO1 546
Last 106–4
Age23
ELO1 522
Hard ELO1 527
Last 107–3
Age23

R. Jones faces William Nolan in the M25 Sheffield round of 32 on hard. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: William Nolan carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: R. Jones 6 of 10, William Nolan 7 of 10 on hard recently — William Nolan the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Jones R.Nolan W.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–47–3 (ahead)
Season win rate65% (17–9) (ahead)62% (13–8)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1544 (ahead)1522
Hard-court ELO1546 (ahead)1527
Serve vs returnLast 16 vs 10 matches
1st-serve points won68% (ahead)63%
Return points won41% (ahead)40%
Aces / match3.3 (ahead)1.9
ClutchLast 16 vs 10 matches
Break points saved69% (ahead)58%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:30 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast13°C · Mainly clear
Wind28 km/h
Humidity57%

Cite this

Umpiry, "R. Jones vs William Nolan — M25 Sheffield Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-27/jones-vs-nolan-m25-sheffield-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 27 October 2026).