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Lola Radivojevic vs Sarah Iliev — W75 Poitiers Round of 32

W75 PoitiersR32HardTue 27 Oct · 13:00
Lola Radivojevic(8)WTA #284 · SRB76%
VSClear favourite · Radivojevic L.
Sarah IlievWTA #633 · FRA24%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Radivojevic L.
76%24%

Clear edge for Radivojevic L. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Radivojevic L.6.3/10
Marginal edge
Iliev S.4.4/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface+257 Hard Elo edgeSupports Radivojevic L.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1555Supports Radivojevic L.
Recent runLost last 5Both players
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 687
Hard ELO1 563
Last 102–8
Age21
EarningsCareer $453K2026 $149K
ELO1 594
Hard ELO1 544
Last 108–2
Age20
EarningsCareer $82K2026 $11K

Lola Radivojevic faces Sarah Iliev in the W75 Poitiers round of 32 on hard. Lola Radivojevic is the paper favourite — ranked #284, a roughly 260-point hard Elo advantage — but Sarah Iliev arrives in form, winning 2 of their last 4 on hard to Lola Radivojevic's 1 of 4.

Key context

  • Surface form: Lola Radivojevic 1 of 4, Sarah Iliev 2 of 4 on hard recently — Sarah Iliev the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Sarah Iliev carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Radivojevic L.Iliev S.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss2–88–2 (ahead)
Season win rate41% (17–24)60% (25–17) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1687 (ahead)1594
Hard-court ELO1563 (ahead)1544
Serve vs returnLast 40 matches each
1st-serve points won66% (ahead)59%
Return points won42%49% (ahead)
Aces / match4.3 (ahead)0.8
ClutchLast 40 matches each
Break points saved57% (ahead)53%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

13:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast17°C · Overcast
Wind15 km/h
Humidity80%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Lola Radivojevic vs Sarah Iliev — W75 Poitiers Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-27/iliev-vs-radivojevic-w75-poitiers-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 27 October 2026).