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Polona Hercog vs Martina Capurro Taborda — Queretaro Open - Queretaro Round of 32

Queretaro Open - QueretaroR32ClayTue 27 Oct · 10:00
Polona HercogWTA #210 · SLO58%
VSSlight edge · Hercog P.
Martina Capurro TabordaWTA #281 · ARG42%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Hercog P.
58%42%

Hercog P. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Hercog P.6.5/10
Marginal edge
Capurro Taborda M.4.0/10
Heavy underdog
Why
Surface+232 Clay Elo edgeSupports Hercog P.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1590Supports Hercog P.
Recent runLost last 5Informative
Surface switchHard → ClaySupports Hercog P.
Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysInformative
ELO1 687
Clay ELO1 689
Last 104–6
Age35
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $4.6M2026 $48K
ELO1 652
Clay ELO1 660
Last 104–6
Age28
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $240K2026 $30K

Polona Hercog faces Martina Capurro Taborda in the Queretaro Open - Queretaro round of 32 on clay. Polona Hercog holds the paper edge — ranked #210, a roughly 230-point clay Elo advantage.

Key context

  • Under pressure: In the tight moments, Martina Capurro Taborda has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 34 vs 10).
  • Fatigue load: Polona Hercog carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Hercog P.Capurro Taborda M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–64–6
Season win rate57% (28–21)60% (27–18) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1687 (ahead)1652
Clay-court ELO1689 (ahead)1660
Serve vs returnLast 47 vs 44 matches
1st-serve points won64% (ahead)58%
Return points won46%49% (ahead)
Aces / match2.2 (ahead)0.4
ClutchLast 47 vs 44 matches
Break points saved56% (ahead)51%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast18°C · Clear
Wind8 km/h
Humidity68%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Polona Hercog vs Martina Capurro Taborda — Queretaro Open - Queretaro Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-27/hercog-vs-taborda-queretaro-open-queretaro-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 27 October 2026).