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Stefano Travaglia vs Pierre Hugues Herbert — Brest Round of 32

BrestR32HardTue 27 Oct · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Herbert P.
40%60%

Herbert P. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Travaglia S.5.8/10
Slight disadvantage
Herbert P.5.8/10
Slight disadvantage
Why
Surface+38 Hard Elo edgeSupports Herbert P.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1607Supports Herbert P.
Surface switchClay → HardAgainst the prediction · Travaglia S.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Travaglia S.
Head-to-headFirst meeting on hardBoth players
ELO1 721
Hard ELO1 654
Last 103–7
Age34
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $2.8M2026 $177K
ELO1 756
Hard ELO1 672
Last 105–5
Age35
Height188 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $10.6M2026 $254K

Stefano Travaglia faces Pierre Hugues Herbert in the Brest round of 32 on hard. Pierre Hugues Herbert is the paper favourite — leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 40-point hard Elo advantage — but Stefano Travaglia arrives in form, winning 2 of their last 4 on hard to Pierre Hugues Herbert's 1 of 4.

Key context

Common opponents

1 shared · last 12 months

Travaglia S. and Herbert P. faced 1 of the same opponent in the last 12 months. Travaglia S. went 1–0 (100%) against them, Herbert P. 0–1 (0%).

1–0100%Travaglia S. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents0–10%Herbert P. · better vs 0
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
2–1Sets1–2
16–11Games14–17
0–0Deciding sets0–1

Only 1 common opponent — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Herbert P. leads 1–0
01

Evidence

Travaglia S.Herbert P.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss3–75–5 (ahead)
Season win rate53% (30–27) (ahead)50% (21–21)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO17211756 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO16541672 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 54 vs 42 matches
1st-serve points won71%76% (ahead)
Return points won41% (ahead)35%
Aces / match5.97.1 (ahead)
ClutchLast 54 vs 42 matches
Break points saved59%67% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard · fast
Forecast15°C · Clear
Wind17 km/h
Humidity72%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Travaglia S.Herbert P.
9 — fresherDays since last match3
0 — fresherMatches · 7 days4
0 — fresherGames · 7 days96
3 — fresherMatches · 14 days6
70 — fresherGames · 14 days141
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Stefano Travaglia vs Pierre Hugues Herbert — Brest Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-27/herbert-vs-travaglia-brest-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 27 October 2026).