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Oliver Tarvet vs Conor Gannon — M25 Sheffield Round of 32

M25 SheffieldR32HardTue 27 Oct · 13:00
Oliver Tarvet(3)ATP #295 · GBR94%
VSStrong favourite · Tarvet O.
Conor GannonATP #779 · IRL6%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Tarvet O.
94%6%

Clear edge for Tarvet O. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 17 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Tarvet O.6.6/10
Marginal edgeBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Gannon C.5.3/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form8 of last 10 on hardInformative
Recent runLost last 4Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 811
Hard ELO1 697
Last 108–2
Age22
EarningsCareer $294K2026 $128K
ELO1 575
Hard ELO1 543
Last 106–4
Age24
EarningsCareer $18K2026 $8K

Oliver Tarvet faces Conor Gannon in the M25 Sheffield round of 32 on hard. Oliver Tarvet holds the paper edge — ranked #295.

Key context

  • Surface form: Oliver Tarvet 8 of 10, Conor Gannon 6 of 10 on hard recently — Oliver Tarvet the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Oliver Tarvet carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Tarvet O.Gannon C.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss8–2 (ahead)6–4
Season win rate81% (30–7) (ahead)59% (13–9)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1811 (ahead)1575
Hard-court ELO1697 (ahead)1543
Serve vs returnLast 29 vs 16 matches
1st-serve points won76% (ahead)71%
Return points won40% (ahead)35%
Aces / match7.2 (ahead)5.6
ClutchLast 29 vs 16 matches
Break points saved67% (ahead)59%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

13:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast13°C · Drizzle
Wind24 km/h
Humidity57%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Oliver Tarvet vs Conor Gannon — M25 Sheffield Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-27/gannon-vs-tarvet-m25-sheffield-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 27 October 2026).