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Frazier Rengifo vs Carlo Arena Fava — M15 Mazatlan Round of 32

M15 MazatlanR32HardTue 27 Oct · 12:00
Frazier RengifoCOL81%
VSStrong favourite · Rengifo F.
Carlo Arena FavaMEX19%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Rengifo F.
81%19%

Clear edge for Rengifo F. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 5 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Rengifo F.5.7/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Arena Fava C.6.0/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface switchClay → HardAgainst the prediction · Arena Fava C.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 506
Hard ELO1 492
Last 101–9
Age27
ELO1 503
Hard ELO1 503
Last 102–1
Age18

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Rengifo F.Arena Fava C.
FormLast 10 vs 3 matches
Win–loss1–92–1 (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1506 (ahead)1503
Hard-court ELO14921503 (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

12:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast30°C · Mainly clear
Wind14 km/h
Humidity66%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Frazier Rengifo vs Carlo Arena Fava — M15 Mazatlan Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-27/fava-vs-rengifo-m15-mazatlan-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 27 October 2026).