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Jake Evans vs Viktor Durasovic — M25 Sheffield Round of 32

M25 SheffieldR32HardTue 27 Oct · 10:00
Jake EvansGBR26%
VSClear favourite · Durasovic V.
Viktor Durasovic(8)ATP #485 · NOR74%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Durasovic V.
26%74%

Clear edge for Durasovic V. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Evans J.4.9/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Durasovic V.6.0/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form5 of last 10 on hardInformative
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysInformative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 519
Hard ELO1 518
Last 105–1
Age21
ELO1 631
Hard ELO1 586
Last 106–4
Age29

Jake Evans faces Viktor Durasovic in the M25 Sheffield round of 32 on hard. Jake Evans brings the better recent hard form (5 of 6).

Key context

  • Surface form: Jake Evans 5 of 6, Viktor Durasovic 4 of 6 on hard recently — Jake Evans the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Evans J.Durasovic V.
FormLast 6 vs 10 matches · 2026
Win–loss5–1 (ahead)6–4
Season win rate83% (5–1) (ahead)44% (20–25)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15191631 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15181586 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 6 vs 36 matches
1st-serve points won67%69% (ahead)
Return points won41% (ahead)38%
Aces / match1.86.4 (ahead)
ClutchLast 6 vs 36 matches
Break points saved61% (ahead)55%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast12°C · Clear
Wind26 km/h
Humidity62%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Jake Evans vs Viktor Durasovic — M25 Sheffield Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-27/durasovic-vs-evans-m25-sheffield-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 27 October 2026).