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Martin Damm vs Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg — Brest Round of 32

BrestR32HardTue 27 Oct · 10:00
Martin Damm(5)ATP #107 · USA69%
VSClear favourite · Damm M.
Sascha Gueymard WayenburgATP #181 · FRA31%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Damm M.
69%31%

Clear edge for Damm M. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Damm M.6.5/10
Marginal edge
Gueymard Wayenburg S.5.4/10
Clear underdog
Why
Surface+263 Hard Elo edgeSupports Damm M.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1706Supports Damm M.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Surface switchClay → HardSupports Damm M.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Gueymard Wayenburg S.
ELO1 852
Hard ELO1 740
Last 103–7
Age23
Height203 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $1.1M2026 $566K
ELO1 700
Hard ELO1 636
Last 107–3
Age23
Height188 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $428K2026 $103K

Martin Damm faces Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg in the Brest round of 32 on hard. Martin Damm is the paper favourite — ranked #107, a roughly 260-point hard Elo advantage — but Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 9 on hard to Martin Damm's 3 of 9.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Damm M.Gueymard Wayenburg S.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss3–77–3 (ahead)
Season win rate54% (34–29) (ahead)53% (30–27)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1852 (ahead)1700
Hard-court ELO1740 (ahead)1636
Serve vs returnLast 60 vs 56 matches
1st-serve points won77% (ahead)71%
Return points won32%38% (ahead)
Aces / match12.2 (ahead)7.2
ClutchLast 60 vs 56 matches
Break points saved64% (ahead)62%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard · fast
Forecast15°C · Clear
Wind17 km/h
Humidity72%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Damm M.Gueymard Wayenburg S.
4Days since last match7 — fresher
3Matches · 7 days1 — fresher
79Games · 7 days21 — fresher
4Matches · 14 days4
96Games · 14 days82 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Martin Damm vs Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg — Brest Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-27/damm-vs-wayenburg-brest-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 27 October 2026).