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Preston Stearns vs J. Chlodnicki — M25 Las Vegas Qualifying Round of 16

M25 Las VegasQ16QualifyingHardTue 27 Oct · 10:00
Preston StearnsUSA60%
VSSlight edge · Stearns P.
J. ChlodnickiPOL40%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Stearns P.
60%40%

Stearns P. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Stearns P.4.2/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Chlodnicki J.4.4/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form3 of last 8 on hardInformative
Recent runLost last 2Informative
CountryWon 46% in USA (35)Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 503
Hard ELO1 505
Last 107–3
Age22
ELO1 515
Hard ELO1 501
Last 107–3
Age56

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Stearns P.Chlodnicki J.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–37–3
Season win rate75% (6–2) (ahead)64% (9–5)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15031515 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO1505 (ahead)1501
Serve vs returnLast 6 vs 7 matches
1st-serve points won77% (ahead)54%
Return points won39%46% (ahead)
Aces / match6.5 (ahead)1.4
ClutchLast 6 vs 7 matches
Break points saved62% (ahead)54%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast19°C · Clear
Wind6 km/h
Humidity35%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Preston Stearns vs J. Chlodnicki — M25 Las Vegas Qualifying Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-27/chlodnicki-vs-stearns-m25-las-vegas-q16?utm_source=cite (as of 27 October 2026).