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Aleksander Chayka vs Ioannis Stamatopoulos — M25 Malta Qualifying Round of 16

M25 MaltaQ16QualifyingHardTue 27 Oct · 10:00
Aleksander ChaykaRUS78%
VSClear favourite · Chayka A.
Ioannis StamatopoulosGRE22%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Chayka A.
78%22%

Clear edge for Chayka A. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 5 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Chayka A.4.9/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Stamatopoulos I.4.9/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
What we know
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 537
Hard ELO1 530
Last 104–6
Age22
ELO1 432
Hard ELO1 442
Last 103–7
Age22

Aleksander Chayka faces Ioannis Stamatopoulos in the M25 Malta qualifying round of 16 on hard. Aleksander Chayka brings the better recent hard form (4 of 6).

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Chayka A.Stamatopoulos I.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–6 (ahead)3–7
Season win rate29% (2–5)43% (3–4) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1537 (ahead)1432
Hard-court ELO1530 (ahead)1442
Serve vs returnLast 6 vs 1 matches
1st-serve points won68% (ahead)61%
Return points won34% (ahead)28%
Aces / match3.2 (ahead)1.0
ClutchLast 6 vs 1 matches
Break points saved59% (ahead)40%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast22°C · Partly cloudy
Wind8 km/h
Humidity53%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Aleksander Chayka vs Ioannis Stamatopoulos — M25 Malta Qualifying Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-27/chayka-vs-stamatopoulos-m25-malta-q16?utm_source=cite (as of 27 October 2026).