UMPIRY
EN

M. Ceban vs Mika Petkovic — M25 Sheffield Round of 32

M25 SheffieldR32HardTue 27 Oct · 13:00
M. CebanGBR18%
VSStrong favourite · Petkovic M.
Mika Petkovic(7)ATP #392 · GER82%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Petkovic M.
18%82%

Clear edge for Petkovic M. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 6 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Ceban M.5.4/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Petkovic M.5.5/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Recent runLost last 2Both players
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 486
Hard ELO1 487
Last 105–5
Age17
ELO1 623
Hard ELO1 548
Last 107–3
Age19

M. Ceban faces Mika Petkovic in the M25 Sheffield round of 32 on hard. Mika Petkovic brings the better recent hard form (7 of 8).

Key context

  • Surface form: M. Ceban 4 of 8, Mika Petkovic 7 of 8 on hard recently — Mika Petkovic the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Mika Petkovic carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Ceban M.Petkovic M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–57–3 (ahead)
Season win rate40% (6–9)59% (29–20) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO14861623 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO14871548 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 8 vs 48 matches
1st-serve points won60%67% (ahead)
Return points won32%40% (ahead)
Aces / match2.42.5 (ahead)
ClutchLast 8 vs 48 matches
Break points saved52%57% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

13:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast13°C · Drizzle
Wind24 km/h
Humidity57%

Cite this

Umpiry, "M. Ceban vs Mika Petkovic — M25 Sheffield Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-27/ceban-vs-petkovic-m25-sheffield-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 27 October 2026).