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Matias Soto vs Lance Amaury Lage Castelan — M15 Mazatlan Round of 32

M15 MazatlanR32HardTue 27 Oct · 09:00Live
Matias Soto(1)ATP #260 · CHI
Lance Amaury Lage CastelanMEX
SetsGamesGame1
65
0
31
150
Odds

Soto M. two breaks up in the 2ndSoto M. unbroken · Lage Castelan L. broken twice

Serve flowSoto M. unbroken · Lage Castelan L. broken 4 times.
  • Hold to love/15
  • Hold to 30
  • Hold to 40 / deuce
  • Broken
  • Result unknown
Soto M.
7/7Lage Castelan L.
4/8
Set 1Set 2
Match momentumLive

Soto M. gaining momentum

Won the last 2 games · 2 breaks

Soto M.Last 8 games
NOW15–0
Lage Castelan L.Set 1 · Set 2
How to read this chart
  • Bar above the line = game won by the player named above it, below the line = the other one
  • Height = how clearly the game was won; a game won to love is the tallest, one won from deuce the shortest
  • Green = one of the most recent games the current momentum is read from
  • Tick on the tip of a bar = break of serve
  • Dashed line = start of a new set
  • NOW = the game being played right now; it has no bar until it ends

Live statistics · Serve vs return

Soto M.Lage Castelan L.
Serve
  • 100% · 7/7Service games held50% · 4/8
Return
  • 4Breaks of serve0

Key moments

Latest first
  1. BREAKSet 2 · Game 6Soto M. broke serve
  2. HOLD 0Set 2 · Game 5Soto M. held to love
  3. BREAKSet 2 · Game 2Soto M. broke serve
  4. SETSet 1 · Game 9Soto M. took the set
  5. BREAKSet 1 · Game 9Soto M. broke serve
  6. BREAKSet 1 · Game 1Soto M. broke serve
Pre-match context

Soto M. came in with the higher hard rating (1531 vs 1461).

Pre-match prediction

Set before the first ball · not updated in play
Pre-match win probability
93%7%
Umpiry Score
5.3/10/104.5
Matchup strength 0–10 · not a probability
ELO1 672
Hard ELO1 531
Last 103–7
Age27
ELO1 443
Hard ELO1 461
Last 103–7
Age25

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Season statistics

Form · RatingShowHide
Soto M.Lage Castelan L.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss3–73–7
Season win rate56% (27–21)100% (1–0) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1672 (ahead)1443
Hard-court ELO1531 (ahead)1461

Draw

Conditions

09:00 local
SurfaceHard
Weather28°C · Mainly clear
Wind3 km/h
Humidity71%

Match info

  • Started09:00 local

Cite this

Umpiry, "Matias Soto vs Lance Amaury Lage Castelan — M15 Mazatlan Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-27/castelan-vs-soto-m15-mazatlan-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 27 October 2026).