UMPIRY
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Madison Brengle vs Lea Nilsson — W100 New Braunfels Round of 32

W100 New BraunfelsR32HardTue 27 Oct · 13:00
Madison Brengle(8)WTA #178 · USA75%
VSClear favourite · Brengle M.
Lea NilssonWTA #347 · SWE25%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Brengle M.
75%25%

Clear edge for Brengle M. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

ELO1 723
Hard ELO1 643
Last 107–3
Age36
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $5.0M2026 $104K
ELO1 605
Hard ELO1 531
Last 105–5
Age18
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $30K2026 $22K

Madison Brengle faces Lea Nilsson in the W100 New Braunfels round of 32 on hard. Madison Brengle holds the paper edge — ranked #178.

Key context

  • Surface form: Madison Brengle 4 of 5, Lea Nilsson 2 of 5 on hard recently — Madison Brengle the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Brengle M.Nilsson L.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)5–5
Season win rate60% (42–28)63% (22–13) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1723 (ahead)1605
Hard-court ELO1643 (ahead)1531
Serve vs returnLast 62 vs 33 matches
1st-serve points won54%59% (ahead)
Return points won51% (ahead)48%
Aces / match0.01.2 (ahead)
ClutchLast 62 vs 33 matches
Break points saved49%55% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

13:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast25°C · Overcast
Wind9 km/h
Humidity64%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Madison Brengle vs Lea Nilsson — W100 New Braunfels Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-27/brengle-vs-nilsson-w100-new-braunfels-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 27 October 2026).