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Jelle Sels vs Billy Blaydes — M25 Sheffield Round of 32

M25 SheffieldR32HardTue 27 Oct · 10:00
Jelle SelsATP #557 · NED70%
VSClear favourite · Sels J.
Billy BlaydesGBR30%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Sels J.
70%30%

Clear edge for Sels J. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Sels J.5.2/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Blaydes B.5.7/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form4 of last 10 on hardInformative
Recent runLost last 3Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 647
Hard ELO1 613
Last 106–4
Age31
EarningsCareer $408K2026 $13K
ELO1 565
Hard ELO1 548
Last 104–6
Age22
EarningsCareer $13K2026 $4K

Jelle Sels faces Billy Blaydes in the M25 Sheffield round of 32 on hard. Jelle Sels brings the better recent hard form (6 of 10).

Key context

  • Surface form: Jelle Sels 6 of 10, Billy Blaydes 4 of 10 on hard recently — Jelle Sels the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Sels J.Blaydes B.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–4 (ahead)4–6
Season win rate43% (16–21)44% (8–10) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1647 (ahead)1565
Hard-court ELO1613 (ahead)1548
Serve vs returnLast 37 vs 9 matches
1st-serve points won66%67% (ahead)
Return points won37%41% (ahead)
Aces / match3.74.0 (ahead)
ClutchLast 37 vs 9 matches
Break points saved56% (ahead)51%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast12°C · Clear
Wind26 km/h
Humidity62%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Jelle Sels vs Billy Blaydes — M25 Sheffield Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-27/blaydes-vs-sels-m25-sheffield-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 27 October 2026).