UMPIRY
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Marco Bavaro vs Alex Blanchar — M25 Malta Qualifying Round of 16

M25 MaltaQ16QualifyingHardTue 27 Oct · 10:00
Marco BavaroITA62%
VSSlight edge · Bavaro M.
Alex BlancharESP38%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Bavaro M.
62%38%

Bavaro M. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Bavaro M.4.9/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Blanchar A.4.8/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
What we know
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 507
Hard ELO1 507
Last 106–4
Age19
ELO1 489
Hard ELO1 510
Last 105–5
Age25

Marco Bavaro faces Alex Blanchar in the M25 Malta qualifying round of 16 on hard. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Last match: Alex Blanchar dropped the opening set before beating Marko Maric 4–6 6–2 10–6.
  • Fatigue load: Both played two three-setters in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.
  • Surface form: Both 3 of 4 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Bavaro M.Blanchar A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–4 (ahead)5–5
Season win rate67% (6–3) (ahead)45% (5–6)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1507 (ahead)1489
Hard-court ELO15071510 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 3 vs 2 matches
1st-serve points won68%68%
Return points won42%43% (ahead)
Aces / match3.3 (ahead)2.0
ClutchLast 3 vs 2 matches
Break points saved67%71% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast22°C · Partly cloudy
Wind8 km/h
Humidity53%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Marco Bavaro vs Alex Blanchar — M25 Malta Qualifying Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-27/bavaro-vs-blanchar-m25-malta-q16?utm_source=cite (as of 27 October 2026).