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Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili — Vienna Round of 32

ViennaR32HardTue 27 Oct · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
45%55%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Rodionov J.6.4/10
Marginal edge
Basilashvili N.6.7/10
Slight advantage
Why
Surface+25 Hard Elo edgeSupports Basilashvili N.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1672Supports Basilashvili N.
This eventReached the R32 here last yearAgainst the prediction · Rodionov J.
Surface switchClay → HardSupports Basilashvili N.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Rodionov J.
ELO1 842
Hard ELO1 715
Last 107–3
Age27
Height191 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $1.8M2026 $273K
ELO1 878
Hard ELO1 757
Last 108–2
Age34
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $9.8M2026 $383K

Jurij Rodionov faces Nikoloz Basilashvili in the Vienna round of 32 on hard. Nikoloz Basilashvili holds the paper edge — ranked #128, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 20-point hard Elo advantage.

Key context

Common opponents

1 shared · last 12 months

Rodionov J. and Basilashvili N. faced 1 of the same opponent in the last 12 months. Rodionov J. went 0–1 (0%) against them, Basilashvili N. 1–0 (100%).

0–10%Rodionov J. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents1–0100%Basilashvili N. · better vs 1
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
0–1Sets2–0
3–6Games12–3

Only 1 common opponent — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Basilashvili N. leads 1–0
01

Evidence

Rodionov J.Basilashvili N.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–38–2 (ahead)
Season win rate63% (41–24) (ahead)51% (32–31)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO18421878 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO17151757 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 60 vs 52 matches
1st-serve points won73%77% (ahead)
Return points won38% (ahead)36%
Aces / match5.87.3 (ahead)
ClutchLast 60 vs 52 matches
Break points saved64% (ahead)60%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard · fast
Forecast8°C · Clear
Wind3 km/h
Humidity71%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Rodionov J.Basilashvili N.
8 — fresherDays since last match1
0 — fresherMatches · 7 days5
0 — fresherGames · 7 days115
1 — fresherMatches · 14 days7
31 — fresherGames · 14 days158
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili — Vienna Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-27/basilashvili-vs-rodionov-vienna-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 27 October 2026).