UMPIRY
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Aleksandr Braynin vs Nikolai Barsukov — M25 Malta Round of 32

M25 MaltaR32HardTue 27 Oct · 13:00
Aleksandr BrayninATP #792 · UKR57%
VSToss-up
Nikolai BarsukovATP #664 · GER43%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
57%43%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Braynin A.5.1/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Barsukov N.5.7/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form4 of last 8 on hardAgainst the prediction · Barsukov N.
Recent runLost last 4Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 534
Hard ELO1 533
Last 102–8
Age27
EarningsCareer $68K2026 $7K
ELO1 533
Hard ELO1 504
Last 105–5
Age19
EarningsCareer $18K2026 $12K

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Braynin A.Barsukov N.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss2–85–5 (ahead)
Season win rate36% (10–18)53% (18–16) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1534 (ahead)1533
Hard-court ELO1533 (ahead)1504
Serve vs returnLast 25 vs 28 matches
1st-serve points won70%73% (ahead)
Return points won37%37%
Aces / match5.66.0 (ahead)
ClutchLast 25 vs 28 matches
Break points saved61% (ahead)55%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

13:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast23°C · Partly cloudy
Wind7 km/h
Humidity49%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Aleksandr Braynin vs Nikolai Barsukov — M25 Malta Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-27/barsukov-vs-braynin-m25-malta-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 27 October 2026).