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Elizabeth Mandlik vs Emiliana Arango — Queretaro Open - Queretaro Round of 32

Queretaro Open - QueretaroR32ClayTue 27 Oct · 11:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
48%52%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Mandlik E.4.6/10
Heavy underdog
Arango E.5.5/10
Slight disadvantage
Why
Surface+86 Clay Elo edgeSupports Arango E.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1624Supports Arango E.
Recent runLost last 3Informative
Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on clayInformative
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 623
Clay ELO1 562
Last 104–6
Age25
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.1M2026 $213K
ELO1 701
Clay ELO1 599
Last 102–8
Age25
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $2.0M2026 $727K

Elizabeth Mandlik faces Emiliana Arango in the Queretaro Open - Queretaro round of 32 on clay. Emiliana Arango holds the paper edge — ranked #164, leading the head-to-head 2–1, a roughly 90-point clay Elo advantage.

Key context

Common opponents

2 shared · last 12 months

Mandlik E. and Arango E. faced 2 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Mandlik E. went 0–2 (0%) against them, Arango E. 0–3 (0%).

0–20%Mandlik E. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents0–30%Arango E. · better vs 0
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
1–4Sets2–5
18–30Games25–35
1–0Tiebreaks0–0
0–1Deciding sets0–1

Only 2 common opponents — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

Head-to-head

3 meetings · Arango E. leads 2–1
12

Hard: Arango E. leads 2–0 · Clay: Mandlik E. leads 1–0

Evidence

Mandlik E.Arango E.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–6 (ahead)2–8
Season win rate48% (20–22) (ahead)33% (14–28)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16231701 (ahead)
Clay-court ELO15621599 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 37 vs 42 matches
1st-serve points won62% (ahead)59%
Return points won46% (ahead)44%
Aces / match1.7 (ahead)1.2
ClutchLast 37 vs 42 matches
Break points saved47%54% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast20°C · Clear
Wind6 km/h
Humidity58%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Elizabeth Mandlik vs Emiliana Arango — Queretaro Open - Queretaro Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-27/arango-vs-mandlik-queretaro-open-queretaro-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 27 October 2026).