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Julia Adams vs Merna Refaat — W35 Norman Round of 32

W35 NormanR32HardTue 27 Oct · 14:00
Julia Adams(4)WTA #513 · USA55%
VSToss-up
Merna RefaatWTA #891 · EGY45%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
55%45%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Adams J.6.1/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Refaat M.5.8/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Recent runLost last 2Informative
CountryWon 71% in USA (38)Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 594
Hard ELO1 590
Last 106–4
Age27
EarningsCareer $59K2026 $22K
ELO1 585
Hard ELO1 583
Last 106–4
Age22
EarningsCareer $43K

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Adams J.Refaat M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–46–4
Season win rate53% (25–22)57% (4–3) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1594 (ahead)1585
Hard-court ELO1590 (ahead)1583
Serve vs returnLast 42 vs 7 matches
1st-serve points won60% (ahead)59%
Return points won47%47%
Aces / match2.1 (ahead)0.3
ClutchLast 42 vs 7 matches
Break points saved56%58% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

14:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast25°C · Overcast
Wind16 km/h
Humidity43%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Julia Adams vs Merna Refaat — W35 Norman Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-27/adams-vs-refaat-w35-norman-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 27 October 2026).