UMPIRY
EN

Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Timofey Skatov — Seoul Round of 32

SeoulR32HardMon 26 Oct · 10:30
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Sakellaridis S.
58%42%

Sakellaridis S. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Sakellaridis S.6.0/10
Even match
Skatov T.5.4/10
Clear underdog
Why
Surface+87 Hard Elo edgeSupports Sakellaridis S.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1630Supports Sakellaridis S.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardAgainst the prediction · Skatov T.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Skatov T.
ELO1 774
Hard ELO1 675
Last 104–6
Age22
Height196 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $442K2026 $226K
ELO1 758
Hard ELO1 617
Last 103–7
Age25
Height175 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.2M2026 $204K

Stefanos Sakellaridis faces Timofey Skatov in the Seoul round of 32 on hard. Stefanos Sakellaridis is the paper favourite — ranked #133, a roughly 90-point hard Elo advantage — but Timofey Skatov has won their only previous meeting. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Skatov T. leads 1–0
01

Evidence

Sakellaridis S.Skatov T.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–6 (ahead)3–7
Season win rate63% (42–25) (ahead)51% (32–31)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1774 (ahead)1758
Hard-court ELO1675 (ahead)1617
Serve vs returnLast 65 vs 62 matches
1st-serve points won73% (ahead)69%
Return points won37%38% (ahead)
Aces / match6.9 (ahead)3.0
ClutchLast 65 vs 62 matches
Break points saved60%60%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:30 local
SurfaceHard · medium-slow
Forecast17°C · Clear
Wind7 km/h
Humidity67%

Court pace medium-slow: favours grinders.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Sakellaridis S.Skatov T.
5 — fresherDays since last match4
3Matches · 7 days1 — fresher
66Games · 7 days25 — fresher
4Matches · 14 days1 — fresher
97Games · 14 days25 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Timofey Skatov — Seoul Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-26/sakellaridis-vs-skatov-seoul-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 26 October 2026).