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Braden Shick vs Max Hans Rehberg — Sioux Falls Round of 32

Sioux FallsR32HardMon 26 Oct · 10:00
Braden Shick(6)ATP #208 · USA30%
VSClear favourite · Rehberg M.
Max Hans RehbergATP #262 · GER70%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Rehberg M.
30%70%

Clear edge for Rehberg M. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Shick B.5.4/10
Clear underdog
Rehberg M.6.4/10
Marginal edge
Why
Surface+114 Hard Elo edgeSupports Rehberg M.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1474Supports Rehberg M.
CountryWon 59% in USA (80)Informative
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Rehberg M.
Recent runLost last 2Both players
ELO1 643
Hard ELO1 607
Last 104–6
Age23
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $82K2026 $52K
ELO1 744
Hard ELO1 627
Last 108–2
Age23
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $258K2026 $60K

Braden Shick faces Max Hans Rehberg in the Sioux Falls round of 32 on hard. Braden Shick is the paper favourite — ranked #208 — but Max Hans Rehberg arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 5 on hard to Braden Shick's 1 of 5.

Key context

  • Surface form: Braden Shick 1 of 5, Max Hans Rehberg 3 of 5 on hard recently — Max Hans Rehberg the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Braden Shick carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Shick B.Rehberg M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–68–2 (ahead)
Season win rate58% (22–16)65% (39–21) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16431744 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO16071627 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 31 vs 55 matches
1st-serve points won68%70% (ahead)
Return points won39%40% (ahead)
Aces / match4.5 (ahead)3.0
ClutchLast 31 vs 55 matches
Break points saved59%65% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast6°C · Overcast
Wind19 km/h
Humidity92%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Shick B.Rehberg M.
5Days since last match6 — fresher
1Matches · 7 days1
24Games · 7 days15 — fresher
1Matches · 14 days1
24Games · 14 days15 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Braden Shick vs Max Hans Rehberg — Sioux Falls Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-26/rehberg-vs-shick-sioux-falls-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 26 October 2026).