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Mili Poljicak vs Yuta Shimizu — Ningboo Round of 32

NingbooR32HardMon 26 Oct · 03:00 UTC
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
45%55%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Poljicak M.5.4/10
Clear underdog
Shimizu Y.6.0/10
Even match
Why
Surface+120 Hard Elo edgeSupports Shimizu Y.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1471Against the prediction · Poljicak M.
Recent runLost last 2Both players
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 702
Hard ELO1 561
Last 103–7
Age22
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $240K2026 $53K
ELO1 701
Hard ELO1 641
Last 104–6
Age27
Height163 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $526K2026 $23K

Mili Poljicak faces Yuta Shimizu in the Ningboo round of 32 on hard. Mili Poljicak holds the paper edge — ranked #270.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Poljicak M.Shimizu Y.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss3–74–6 (ahead)
Season win rate56% (23–18) (ahead)51% (22–21)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1702 (ahead)1701
Hard-court ELO15611641 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 40 vs 42 matches
1st-serve points won72% (ahead)69%
Return points won38% (ahead)37%
Aces / match5.9 (ahead)5.0
ClutchLast 40 vs 42 matches
Break points saved58%60% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Poljicak M.Shimizu Y.
11 — fresherDays since last match6
0 — fresherMatches · 7 days1
0 — fresherGames · 7 days16
1Matches · 14 days1
17Games · 14 days16 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Mili Poljicak vs Yuta Shimizu — Ningboo Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-26/poljicak-vs-shimizu-ningboo-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 26 October 2026).