Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Plekhanova D.
59%41%
Plekhanova D. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.
Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Plekhanova D.5.5/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Tran D.5.5/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
Surface switchHard → ClayBoth players
ELO1 550
Clay ELO1 515
Last 104–6
Age22
EarningsCareer $31K2026 $4K
ELO1 497
Clay ELO1 511
Last 105–5
Age25
EarningsCareer $64K2026 $15K
Common opponents
0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.
Head-to-head
They have not met before.
Evidence
Plekhanova D.Tran D.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–65–5 (ahead)
Season win rate50% (6–6) (ahead)40% (16–24)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1550 (ahead)1497
Clay-court ELO1515 (ahead)1511
Serve vs returnLast 11 vs 39 matches
1st-serve points won61% (ahead)57%
Return points won50% (ahead)46%
Aces / match3.4 (ahead)0.3
ClutchLast 11 vs 39 matches
Break points saved47%50% (ahead)
Draw
Odds
Conditions
11:00 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast17°C · Overcast
Wind13 km/h
Humidity69%
Cite this
Umpiry, "Dasha Plekhanova vs Demi Tran — Queretaro Open - Queretaro Qualifying Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-26/plekhanova-vs-tran-queretaro-open-queretaro-q16?utm_source=cite (as of 26 October 2026).