UMPIRY
EN

Ognjen Milic vs Kaichi Uchida — Ningboo Round of 32

NingbooR32HardMon 26 Oct · 03:00 UTC
Ognjen MilicATP #363 · SRB73%
VSClear favourite · Milic O.
Kaichi UchidaATP #417 · JPN27%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Milic O.
73%27%

Clear edge for Milic O. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Milic O.6.1/10
Even match
Uchida K.5.2/10
Clear underdog
Why
Surface+70 Hard Elo edgeSupports Milic O.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1414Supports Milic O.
Recent runLost last 3Informative
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Uchida K.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 656
Hard ELO1 588
Last 104–6
Age19
EarningsCareer $41K2026 $23K
ELO1 604
Hard ELO1 579
Last 102–8
Age32
EarningsCareer $709K2026 $77K

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Milic O.Uchida K.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–6 (ahead)2–8
Season win rate55% (21–17) (ahead)21% (7–27)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1656 (ahead)1604
Hard-court ELO1588 (ahead)1579
Serve vs returnLast 31 vs 33 matches
1st-serve points won70%70%
Return points won38% (ahead)32%
Aces / match4.84.8
ClutchLast 31 vs 33 matches
Break points saved58% (ahead)55%

Draw

Odds

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Milic O.Uchida K.
4Days since last match4
1Matches · 7 days1
36Games · 7 days22 — fresher
1 — fresherMatches · 14 days3
36 — fresherGames · 14 days60
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Ognjen Milic vs Kaichi Uchida — Ningboo Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-26/milic-vs-uchida-ningboo-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 26 October 2026).