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Tianhui Zhang vs Harold Mayot — Ningboo Round of 32

NingbooR32HardMon 26 Oct · 03:00 UTC
Tianhui ZhangATP #788 · CHN14%
VSStrong favourite · Mayot H.
Harold Mayot(3)ATP #202 · FRA86%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Mayot H.
14%86%

Clear edge for Mayot H. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 7 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Zhang T.5.1/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Mayot H.6.2/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form6 of last 10 on hardSupports Mayot H.
Recent runLost last 5Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 558
Hard ELO1 543
Last 106–4
Age20
EarningsCareer $35K2026 $9K
ELO1 781
Hard ELO1 689
Last 106–4
Age24
EarningsCareer $1.3M2026 $130K

Tianhui Zhang faces Harold Mayot in the Ningboo round of 32 on hard. Harold Mayot holds the paper edge — ranked #202. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Freshness: Workload contrast: Tianhui Zhang 0 games in 14 days, Harold Mayot 21.
  • Surface form: Both 6 of 10 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Zhang T.Mayot H.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–46–4
Season win rate53% (10–9)58% (26–19) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15581781 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15431689 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 14 vs 40 matches
1st-serve points won69%70% (ahead)
Return points won33%38% (ahead)
Aces / match2.64.6 (ahead)
ClutchLast 14 vs 40 matches
Break points saved54%55% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Zhang T.Mayot H.
19 — fresherDays since last match7
0 — fresherMatches · 7 days1
0 — fresherGames · 7 days21
0 — fresherMatches · 14 days1
0 — fresherGames · 14 days21
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Tianhui Zhang vs Harold Mayot — Ningboo Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-26/mayot-vs-zhang-ningboo-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 26 October 2026).