UMPIRY
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Tatjana Maria vs Carlota Garibay Romero — Queretaro Open - Queretaro Round of 32

Queretaro Open - QueretaroR32ClayMon 26 Oct · 10:00
Tatjana Maria(1)WTA #70 · GER88%
VSStrong favourite · Maria T.
Carlota Garibay RomeroMEX12%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Maria T.
88%12%

Clear edge for Maria T. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 8 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Maria T.5.3/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Garibay Romero C.5.7/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form5 of last 10 on clayInformative
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Surface switchHard → ClayAgainst the prediction · Garibay Romero C.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 830
Clay ELO1 583
Last 108–2
Age39
ELO1 498
Clay ELO1 497
Last 100–1
Age17

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Maria T.Garibay Romero C.
FormLast 10 vs 1 matches
Win–loss8–2 (ahead)0–1
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1830 (ahead)1498
Clay-court ELO1583 (ahead)1497

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast16°C · Overcast
Wind14 km/h
Humidity77%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Tatjana Maria vs Carlota Garibay Romero — Queretaro Open - Queretaro Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-26/maria-vs-romero-queretaro-open-queretaro-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 26 October 2026).