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Stan Wawrinka vs Jiri Lehecka — Basel Round of 64

BaselR64HardMon 26 Oct · 11:00
VSStrong favourite · Lehecka J.
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Lehecka J.
13%87%

Clear edge for Lehecka J. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 8 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Wawrinka S.5.0/10
Heavy underdog
Lehecka J.7.1/10
Strong advantage
Why
Surface+218 Hard Elo edgeSupports Lehecka J.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1922Supports Lehecka J.
This eventReached the last 16 here last yearInformative
Surface switchClay → HardSupports Lehecka J.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 811
Hard ELO1 769
Last 102–8
Age41
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $38.6M2026 $782K
ELO2 084
Hard ELO1 915
Last 107–3
Age24
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $9.5M2026 $2.1M

Stan Wawrinka faces Jiri Lehecka in the Basel round of 64 on hard. Jiri Lehecka holds the paper edge — ranked #20, defending last year's round of 32, a roughly 220-point hard Elo advantage.

Key context

  • Freshness: Stan Wawrinka comes in with 2 days of rest and 53 games in 14d, vs Jiri Lehecka's 1 and 107.
  • Under pressure: In the tight moments, Jiri Lehecka has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 77 vs 52).
  • Stage: Stan Wawrinka defends last year's round of 16; Jiri Lehecka defends last year's round of 32.

Common opponents

6 shared · last 12 months

Wawrinka S. and Lehecka J. faced 6 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Wawrinka S. went 1–7 (13%) against them, Lehecka J. 4–2 (67%). Lehecka J. came out clearly better against 4 of 6 comparable opponents, Wawrinka S. against 1.

1–713%Wawrinka S. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents4–267%Lehecka J. · better vs 4
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
7–19Sets8–8
132–156Games87–79
3–7Tiebreaks0–4
1–2Deciding sets3–0
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Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Wawrinka S.Lehecka J.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss2–87–3 (ahead)
Season win rate32% (10–21)65% (37–20) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO18112084 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO17691915 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 30 vs 52 matches
1st-serve points won75%76% (ahead)
Return points won32%35% (ahead)
Aces / match8.18.5 (ahead)
ClutchLast 30 vs 52 matches
Break points saved61%67% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local
SurfaceHard · fast
Forecast11°C · Partly cloudy
Wind4 km/h
Humidity68%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Wawrinka S.Lehecka J.
2 — fresherDays since last match1
2Matches · 7 days2
53Games · 7 days47 — fresher
2 — fresherMatches · 14 days4
53 — fresherGames · 14 days107
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Stan Wawrinka vs Jiri Lehecka — Basel Round of 64", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-26/lehecka-vs-wawrinka-basel-r64?utm_source=cite (as of 26 October 2026).