Jerome Kym vs Arthur Rinderknech | Basel Round of 64

UMPIRY

BaselR64HardMon 26 Oct · 11:00

Jerome KymATP #223 · SUI46%

VSToss-up

Arthur RinderknechATP #61 · FRA54%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up

46%54%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Kym J.5.7/10

Slight disadvantage

Rinderknech A.5.7/10

Slight disadvantage

Why

Surface+156 Hard Elo edgeSupports Rinderknech A.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1780Supports Rinderknech A.

Recent runLost last 3Informative

Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardAgainst the prediction · Kym J.

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 829

Hard ELO1 724

Last 106–4

Age23

Height198 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $841K2026 $197K

ELO1 969

Hard ELO1 825

Last 104–6

Age31

Height196 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $7.6M2026 $1.3M

Jerome Kym faces Arthur Rinderknech in the Basel round of 64 on hard. Arthur Rinderknech is the paper favourite — ranked #61, a roughly 160-point hard Elo advantage — but Jerome Kym has won their only previous meeting. Jerome Kym brings the better recent hard form (6 of 9).

Key context

Head-to-head: Jerome Kym leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at Basel 2024.
Surface form: Jerome Kym 6 of 9, Arthur Rinderknech 4 of 9 on hard recently — Jerome Kym the sharper of late.

Common opponents

1 shared · last 12 months

Kym J. and Rinderknech A. faced 1 of the same opponent in the last 12 months. Kym J. went 0–1 (0%) against them, Rinderknech A. 0–1 (0%).

0–10%Kym J. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents0–10%Rinderknech A. · better vs 0

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

1–2Sets1–2

17–19Games12–15

1–1Tiebreaks0–0

0–1Deciding sets0–1

Only 1 common opponent — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

vs Tsitsipas S.#39L4-6 7-6(2) 6-7(5)Gstaad · clayL3-6 6-3 3-6Gstaad · clay

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Kym J. leads 1–0

Kym J.October 2024BaselHard6-1 7-6(3)

Evidence

Kym J.Rinderknech A.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss6–44–6

Season win rate59% (26–18)45% (19–23)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO18291969

Hard-court ELO17241825

Serve vs returnLast 41 vs 37 matches

1st-serve points won77%78%

Return points won37%33%

Aces / match9.412.9

ClutchLast 41 vs 37 matches

Break points saved63%69%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local

SurfaceHard · fast

Forecast11°C · Partly cloudy

Wind4 km/h

Humidity68%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Jerome Kym vs Arthur Rinderknech — Basel Round of 64", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-26/kym-vs-rinderknech-basel-r64?utm_source=cite (as of 26 October 2026).