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Maria Timofeeva vs Teodora Kostovic — Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou Round of 32

Guangzhou Open - GuangzhouR32HardMon 26 Oct · 11:00
Maria Timofeeva(7)WTA #70 · UZB58%
VSSlight edge · Timofeeva M.
Teodora KostovicWTA #144 · SRB42%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Timofeeva M.
58%42%

Timofeeva M. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Timofeeva M.6.6/10
Marginal edge
Kostovic T.4.9/10
Heavy underdog
Why
Surface+95 Hard Elo edgeSupports Timofeeva M.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1696Supports Timofeeva M.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 826
Hard ELO1 681
Last 107–3
Age22
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.2M2026 $377K
ELO1 747
Hard ELO1 558
Last 107–3
Age19
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $337K2026 $252K

Maria Timofeeva faces Teodora Kostovic in the Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou round of 32 on hard. Maria Timofeeva holds the paper edge — ranked #70, a roughly 90-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Last match: Teodora Kostovic dropped just 5 games past Anastasia Zakharova.
  • Surface form: Both 7 of 10 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

1 shared · last 12 months

Timofeeva M. and Kostovic T. faced 1 of the same opponent in the last 12 months. Timofeeva M. went 1–0 (100%) against them, Kostovic T. 0–1 (0%).

1–0100%Timofeeva M. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents0–10%Kostovic T. · better vs 0
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
2–0Sets0–2
12–4Games7–13
0–0Tiebreaks0–1

Only 1 common opponent — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Timofeeva M.Kostovic T.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–37–3
Season win rate67% (38–19) (ahead)61% (37–24)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1826 (ahead)1747
Hard-court ELO1681 (ahead)1558
Serve vs returnLast 56 vs 61 matches
1st-serve points won62%67% (ahead)
Return points won48% (ahead)45%
Aces / match1.93.0 (ahead)
ClutchLast 56 vs 61 matches
Break points saved57%58% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast29°C · Clear
Wind7 km/h
Humidity46%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Maria Timofeeva vs Teodora Kostovic — Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-26/kostovic-vs-timofeeva-guangzhou-open-guangzhou-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 26 October 2026).