No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.
Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Tailleu P.3.8/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Jinks A.4.9/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form1 of last 5 on hardInformative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 525
Hard ELO1 464
Last 104–6
Age23
ELO1 500
Hard ELO1 500
Last 101–1
Age23
Common opponents
0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.
Head-to-head
They have not met before.
Evidence
Tailleu P.Jinks A.
FormLast 10 vs 2 matches · 2026
Win–loss4–61–1 (ahead)
Season win rate55% (17–14) (ahead)50% (1–1)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1525 (ahead)1500
Hard-court ELO14641500 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 23 vs 1 matches
1st-serve points won71%71%
Return points won39% (ahead)38%
Aces / match5.3 (ahead)0.0
ClutchLast 23 vs 1 matches
Break points saved63%67% (ahead)
Draw
Odds
Conditions
11:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast10°C · Rain
Wind18 km/h
Humidity94%
Cite this
Umpiry, "Pierre Antoine Tailleu vs Aaron Jinks — M25 Sheffield Qualifying Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-26/jinks-vs-tailleu-m25-sheffield-q16?utm_source=cite (as of 26 October 2026).