Marcus Walters vs Sean Hodkin | Preview, H2H & Win Probability

UMPIRY

M25 SheffieldQ16QualifyingHardMon 26 Oct · 10:00

Marcus WaltersGBR72%

VSClear favourite · Walters M.

Sean HodkinGBR28%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Walters M.

72%28%

Clear edge for Walters M. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Walters M.4.4/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Hodkin S.5.5/10

Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form2 of last 5 on hardInformative

Recent runLost last 2Informative

Head-to-headLeads 2–0 on hardSupports Walters M.

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 575

Hard ELO1 555

Last 106–4

Age28

PlaysRight

ELO1 513

Hard ELO1 506

Last 102–8

Age27

PlaysRight

Marcus Walters faces Sean Hodkin in the M25 Sheffield qualifying round of 16 on hard. Marcus Walters holds the paper edge — leading the head-to-head 2–0.

Key context

Head-to-head: Marcus Walters leads the head-to-head 2–0. Last met at M25 Sunderland 1 2024.
Surface form: Marcus Walters 5 of 9, Sean Hodkin 2 of 9 on hard recently — Marcus Walters the sharper of late.
Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

2 meetings · Walters M. leads 2–0

Walters M.January 2024M25 Sunderland 1Hard6-4 6-4
Walters M.January 2017Great Britain F1Hard6-2 7-5

Evidence

Walters M.Hodkin S.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss6–42–8

Season win rate52% (14–13)22% (2–7)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO15751513

Hard-court ELO15551506

Serve vs returnLast 22 vs 8 matches

1st-serve points won70%70%

Return points won38%38%

Aces / match5.23.5

ClutchLast 22 vs 8 matches

Break points saved51%47%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast9°C · Drizzle

Wind16 km/h

Humidity94%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Marcus Walters vs Sean Hodkin — M25 Sheffield Qualifying Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-26/hodkin-vs-walters-m25-sheffield-q16?utm_source=cite (as of 26 October 2026).