Alexis Galarneau vs Mees Rottgering — Sioux Falls Round of 32
Why
Surface+100 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Galarneau A.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1593Against the prediction · Galarneau A.
Recent runLost last 3Informative
Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardSupports Rottgering M.
CountryWon 68% in USA (25)Supports Rottgering M.
ELO1 765
Hard ELO1 661
Last 104–6
Age27
Height180 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $944K2026 $251K
ELO1 674
Hard ELO1 620
Last 106–4
Age19
Height180 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $120K2026 $61K
Alexis Galarneau faces Mees Rottgering in the Sioux Falls round of 32 on hard. Alexis Galarneau is the paper favourite — ranked #182, a roughly 100-point hard Elo advantage — but Mees Rottgering has won their only previous meeting. Mees Rottgering brings the better recent hard form (6 of 10).
Key context
- Freshness: Alexis Galarneau comes in with 20 days of rest and 0 games in 14d, vs Mees Rottgering's 2 and 59.
- Head-to-head: Mees Rottgering leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at Mouilleron Le Captif CH 2025.
- Surface form: Alexis Galarneau 4 of 10, Mees Rottgering 6 of 10 on hard recently — Mees Rottgering the sharper of late.
Common opponents
0 shared · last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.
Head-to-head
1 meeting · Rottgering M. leads 1–001
- Rottgering M.September 2025Mouilleron Le Captif CHHard6-3 4-6 6-3
Evidence
Galarneau A.Rottgering M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–66–4 (ahead)
Season win rate57% (37–28)64% (21–12) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1765 (ahead)1674
Hard-court ELO1661 (ahead)1620
Serve vs returnLast 62 vs 26 matches
1st-serve points won69%70% (ahead)
Return points won38%41% (ahead)
Aces / match3.6 (ahead)3.4
ClutchLast 62 vs 26 matches
Break points saved58%65% (ahead)
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Alexis Galarneau vs Mees Rottgering — Sioux Falls Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-26/galarneau-vs-rottgering-sioux-falls-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 26 October 2026).