Jake Evans vs Stijn Pel | M25 Sheffield Qualifying Round of 16

UMPIRY

M25 SheffieldQ16QualifyingHardMon 26 Oct · 11:00

Jake EvansGBR59%

VSSlight edge · Evans J.

Stijn PelNED41%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Evans J.

59%41%

Evans J. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Evans J.4.9/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Pel S.4.9/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

What we know

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 515

Hard ELO1 514

Last 104–1

Age21

ELO1 524

Hard ELO1 517

Last 105–5

Age24

Jake Evans faces Stijn Pel in the M25 Sheffield qualifying round of 16 on hard. Jake Evans brings the better recent hard form (4 of 5).

Key context

Last match: Jake Evans won all two sets in tiebreaks against Viktor Frydrych.
Last match: Stijn Pel won all two sets in tiebreaks against R. Andres.
Surface form: Jake Evans 4 of 5, Stijn Pel 3 of 5 on hard recently — Jake Evans the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Evans J.Pel S.

FormLast 5 vs 10 matches · 2026

Win–loss4–15–5

Season win rate80% (4–1)50% (2–2)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO15151524

Hard-court ELO15141517

Serve vs returnLast 5 vs 1 matches

1st-serve points won65%74%

Return points won40%37%

Aces / match1.49.0

ClutchLast 5 vs 1 matches

Break points saved62%33%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast10°C · Rain

Wind18 km/h

Humidity94%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Jake Evans vs Stijn Pel — M25 Sheffield Qualifying Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-26/evans-vs-pel-m25-sheffield-q16?utm_source=cite (as of 26 October 2026).