Vladislav Melnic vs Ivan Dorokhov | Preview, H2H & Win Probability

UMPIRY

M25 SheffieldQ16QualifyingHardMon 26 Oct · 10:00

Vladislav MelnicROU46%

VSToss-up

Ivan DorokhovRUS54%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up

46%54%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Melnic V.4.1/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Dorokhov I.4.9/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Recent runLost last 3Informative

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 498

Hard ELO1 508

Last 103–7

Age27

ELO1 507

Hard ELO1 507

Last 106–4

Age18

Vladislav Melnic faces Ivan Dorokhov in the M25 Sheffield qualifying round of 16 on hard.

Key context

Last match: Vladislav Melnic dropped the opening set before beating Luke Simkiss 6–7 7–5 10–7.
Last match: Ivan Dorokhov edged Patrick Foley in two tight sets (7–5 7–6).
Fatigue load: Ivan Dorokhov carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Melnic V.Dorokhov I.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss3–76–4

Season win rate22% (4–14)63% (10–6)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO14981507

Hard-court ELO15081507

Serve vs returnLast 14 vs 9 matches

1st-serve points won59%69%

Return points won38%40%

Aces / match2.23.4

ClutchLast 14 vs 9 matches

Break points saved59%66%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast9°C · Drizzle

Wind17 km/h

Humidity92%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Vladislav Melnic vs Ivan Dorokhov — M25 Sheffield Qualifying Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-26/dorokhov-vs-melnic-m25-sheffield-q16?utm_source=cite (as of 26 October 2026).