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Taro Daniel vs Andre Ilagan — Seoul Round of 32

SeoulR32HardMon 26 Oct · 10:30
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
48%52%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Daniel T.5.7/10
Slight disadvantage
Ilagan A.5.9/10
Even match
Why
Surface+6 Hard Elo edgeSupports Ilagan A.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1567Against the prediction · Daniel T.
Recent runLost last 4Informative
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Daniel T.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 755
Hard ELO1 625
Last 104–6
Age33
Height191 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $5.1M2026 $91K
ELO1 711
Hard ELO1 652
Last 104–6
Age25
Height173 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $162K2026 $71K

Taro Daniel faces Andre Ilagan in the Seoul round of 32 on hard. Taro Daniel holds the paper edge — ranked #179. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Freshness: Taro Daniel comes in with 7 days of rest and 20 games in 14d, vs Andre Ilagan's 1 and 83.
  • Under pressure: In the tight moments, Andre Ilagan has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 37 vs 13).
  • Surface form: Both 4 of 10 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

1 shared · last 12 months

Daniel T. and Ilagan A. faced 1 of the same opponent in the last 12 months. Daniel T. went 0–1 (0%) against them, Ilagan A. 0–1 (0%).

0–10%Daniel T. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents0–10%Ilagan A. · better vs 0
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
0–2Sets1–2
7–13Games15–19
0–0Tiebreaks1–0
0–0Deciding sets0–1

Only 1 common opponent — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Daniel T.Ilagan A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–64–6
Season win rate67% (39–19) (ahead)58% (38–27)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1755 (ahead)1711
Hard-court ELO16251652 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 57 vs 61 matches
1st-serve points won67%68% (ahead)
Return points won41% (ahead)38%
Aces / match3.55.0 (ahead)
ClutchLast 57 vs 61 matches
Break points saved64%65% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:30 local
SurfaceHard · medium-slow
Forecast17°C · Clear
Wind7 km/h
Humidity67%

Court pace medium-slow: favours grinders.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Daniel T.Ilagan A.
7 — fresherDays since last match1
1 — fresherMatches · 7 days3
20 — fresherGames · 7 days67
1 — fresherMatches · 14 days4
20 — fresherGames · 14 days83
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Taro Daniel vs Andre Ilagan — Seoul Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-26/daniel-vs-ilagan-seoul-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 26 October 2026).